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BREAKOUT WATCH

Short Term Trading Ideas: Stocks to Watch During the Day for Potential Breakouts.
DATE COMPANY SYMBOL CLICK FOR CHART
 5/15/00

CMGI Inc

CMGI

CHART

COMMENTS: CMGI's late April rally attempt retraced just over 50% of the stock's 4/10-4/17 plunge.  The stock has been in a steady decline since the rally attempt ended on May 1st, and now looks likely to retest its 4/17 low.  CMGI fell 0.44 on Friday to close at 55.19 after trading as low as 53.50 intraday.  Support is at 49.38.  Short term technicals continue to weaken: daily OBV and stochastics are at new lows.  Long term indicators remain decidedly negative: weekly OBV has been declining since March, weekly RSI and stochastics are at new lows.  A sell short signal would be given on a break below 49.38, with the next support then at 45, 42.6, 38, and 33.1.  Resistance is at 59.8 and 65.9.   Day 1 on breakout watch

 5/15/00

Philip Morris Companies

MO

CHART

COMMENTS:  MO has formed a solid bottom during the first 5 months of this year and is once again retesting its 2000 high of 24.63 set on January 11th.  The stock gained 0.81 on Friday to close at 24.31, just below its intraday high of 24.50. Short and long term technicals are positive: daily OBV, RSI, MACD, and stochastics are rising; weekly OBV has turned up, and both weekly RSI and stochastics have risen above 40 from oversold territory.  A buy signal would be given on a break above resistance at 24.63, with the next upside resistance at 27.94 (the November 22nd intraday high), 31.4 (the 62% retracement of the stock's 8/99-3/00 decline), and 33.7.  Support is at 23.75, 22.2, and 20.1.  Day 1 on breakout watch
 5/15/00 Standex International SXI

CHART

COMMENTS:  Standex has been in a steady decline since it peaked at 37 on 11/7/97.  The stock failed to hold minor support at 16.2 on Friday, ending the day down 0.69 at 15.56 after hitting an intraday low of 15.50.  A retest of the stock's 8-year low of 14.34, set on March 24th of this year, now appears likely.  The stock has additional support at 13.63-13.81, a level that marked the highs in 1990 and 1991.  Short term indicators are negative: stochastics has dropped below 70 from overbought territory, and OBV, MACD, and RSI have turned down.  A sell short signal would be given on a break below 13.63, with the next support then at 11.5, 10.4, 9.7, and 8.5.  Resistance is at 16.8, and 17.6-17.9.   Day 1 on breakout watch
 5/15/00 Swift Energy Co SFY

CHART

COMMENTS: Swift Energy is making another run at the 2 1/2 year high if 23.50 that it set on May 5th.  The stock gained 1 on Friday to close at 22.88 after hitting an intraday high of 23.13.  Short term indicators are positive, but overbought.  Long term indicators continue to improve, with weekly OBV, RSI, and stochastics all at new highs.  A buy signal would be given on a break above resistance at 23.50, with the next resistance then at 26, 28.9, and 31.  Support is at 20.9-21.3, and 19.  Day 1 on breakout watch.
5/15/00  International Business Machines IBM

CHART

COMMENTS:  IBM's feeble late April rally attempt was stopped by resistance at 114, the 50% retracement of the stock's 3/2-3/27 rally.  The stock finished Friday unchanged at 104.44 after hitting an intraday low of 103.25.  A retest of support at 99.5-101.25 (the March and April lows, respectively) now appears likely.  Short and long term indicators remain negative.  A sell short signal would be given on a break below 99.50, with a retest of the October lows at 89.75 then likely.  Additional support is at 82.  Resistance is at 110 and 114.   Day 1 on breakout watch.

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Last modified: April 02, 2001

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