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ADVANCE REPORT ON DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS AND ORDERS 
March 1999 

ADVANCE REPORT ON DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS AND ORDERS 
March 2000
(All figures in text below are in seasonally adjusted current dollars)
NEW ORDERS  New orders for manufactured durable goods in March
increased $5.5 billion or 2.6 percent to $215.2   billion, the
Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census reported today.
This follows a 2.0 percent February decrease.  Excluding
transportation, new orders increased 2.8 percent.  Year-to-date,
new orders are 7.4 percent above the same period a year ago; new
orders for the first quarter are 2.2 percent above fourth
quarter 1999.
Electronic and other electrical equipment, led by electronic
components, had the largest increase, $4.0 billion or 9.7
percent to $44.8 billion.  This is the eighth increase in the
last ten months.  Transportation equipment increased $0.8
billion or 1.8     percent to $47.3 billion; an increase in
motor vehicles and parts more than offset a decrease in
shipbuilding and tanks. Primary metals increased $0.1 billion or
0.5 percent to $15.9 billion.  Industrial machinery and
equipment, down four of the last five months, decreased $0.9
billion or 2.1 percent to $40.4 billion.
SHIPMENTS  Shipments of durable goods in March increased $3.2
billion or 1.5 percent to $209.7 billion, following a 1.4
percent February decrease.  This is the ninth increase in the
last eleven months.  Year-to-date, shipments are 6.6 percent
above the same period a year ago; shipments for the first
quarter are 2.0 percent above fourth quarter 1999.
Transportation equipment had the largest increase, $0.9 billion
or 2.0 percent to $47.8 billion; an increase in motor vehicles
and parts more than offset a decrease in aircraft and parts.
Electronic and other electrical equipment increased $0.7 billion
or 1.8 percent to $38.6 billion.  This is the fourth increase in
the last five months.  Industrial machinery and equipment
increased $0.7 billion or 1.7 percent to $40.9 billion.  Primary
metals, up nine of the last eleven months, increased $0.1
billion or 0.6 percent to $16.1 billion.
UNFILLED ORDERS  Unfilled orders for durable goods in March
increased $5.6 billion or 1.1 percent to $526.0 billion,
following a 0.6 percent February increase.  This is the ninth
consecutive increase.  Electronic and other electrical equipment
had the largest increase, $6.2 billion or 7.1 percent to $94.0
billion, mostly due to electronic components.  This is the
fifteenth increase in the last sixteen months and the largest
since August 1997.  Industrial machinery and equipment, down for
the first time since June 1999, decreased $0.5 billion or 0.6
percent to $83.5 billion.  Transportation equipment, down
nineteen of the last twenty-three months, decreased $0.5 billion
or 0.2 percent to $229.3 billion, mostly due to railroad
equipment.  Primary metals, down five consecutive months,
decreased $0.2 billion or 0.5 percent to $31.6 billion.
CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES, DEFENSE  New orders in March decreased
$2.0 billion or 30.6 percent to $4.5 billion.  Shipments, down
four consecutive months, decreased $0.1 billion or 1.2 percent
to $5.9 billion. Unfilled orders, down for the first time since
November 1999, decreased $1.4 billion or 1.5 percent to $93.5
billion.
     
CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES, NONDEFENSE  New orders in March
increased $1.2 billion or 2.0 percent to $58.6 billion.
Shipments increased $0.3 billion or 0.4 percent to $57.5
billion.  Unfilled orders, up four consecutive months, increased
$1.1 billion or 0.4 percent to $262.7 billion. Excluding
aircraft and parts, new orders increased $0.5      billion or
1.0 percent to $51.2 billion; shipments increased $1.5 billion
or 2.9 percent to $51.5 billion; and unfilled orders, down for
the first time since August 1999, decreased $0.3 billion or 0.3
percent to $119.1 billion.
     
REVISED FEBRUARY DATA  Revised seasonally adjusted February
figures for all manufacturing industries are: shipments, $370.6
billion (revised from $368.9 billion); new orders, $374.3
billion (revised from $372.0 billion); unfilled orders, $546.3
billion (revised from $545.7 billion); and total inventories,
$476.3 billion (revised from $476.1 billion).
                                                                              
TABLE 1, PART 1: DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS AND ORDERS
 
 
                                            ------Seasonally Adjusted ---    
                                                     Monthly
                                              (Millions of dollars)
                    ITEM
                                               Mar.     Feb.      Jan. 
                                            2000(2)  2000(r)     2000
              DURABLE GOODS                                  
                                                             
     Total:                                                  
        Shipments........................   209,677  206,480  209,442
        New orders.......................   215,243  209,791  213,982
        Unfilled orders..................   525,952  520,386  517,075
                                                             
 Durable goods excluding defense:                            
   Shipments.............................   203,744  200,474  203,189
   New orders............................   210,706  203,257  207,170
   Unfilled orders.......................   432,475  425,513  422,730
                                                             
 Durable goods with unfilled orders:                         
   Shipments.............................   172,306  170,486  172,674
   New orders............................   177,872  173,797  177,214
 Primary metals:                                             
   Shipments.............................    16,058   15,962   16,091
   New orders............................    15,889   15,810   16,065
   Unfilled orders.......................    31,565   31,734   31,886
 Industrial machinery and equipment:                         
   Shipments.............................    40,923   40,257   41,311
   New orders............................    40,416   41,300   42,937
   Unfilled orders.......................    83,460   83,967   82,924
 Electronic and other                                        
  electrical equipment                                       
   Shipments.............................    38,580   37,892   38,035
   New orders............................    44,830   40,850   37,364
   Unfilled orders.......................    94,003   87,753   84,795
 Transportation equipment:                                   
   Shipments.............................    47,764   46,823   48,663
   New orders............................    47,261   46,435   51,438
   Unfilled orders.......................   229,345  229,848  230,236
                                                             
     CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES                                
                                                             
   Shipments.............................    63,444   63,265   65,120
   New orders............................    63,117   63,955   70,162
   Unfilled orders.......................   356,216  356,543  355,853
     Nondefense:                                             
       Shipments.........................    57,511   57,259   58,867
       New orders........................    58,580   57,421   63,350
       Unfilled orders...................   262,739  261,670  261,508
      Excluding Aircraft and Parts:                          
       Shipments.........................    51,495   50,039   51,134
       New orders........................    51,176   50,693   54,272
       Unfilled orders...................   119,121  119,440  118,786
     Defense:                                                
       Shipments.........................     5,933    6,006    6,253
       New orders........................     4,537    6,534    6,812
       Unfilled orders...................    93,477   94,873   94,345
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 1, PART 2: DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS AND ORDERS
 
 
                                            ------Seasonally Adjusted ---    
                                                     Percent Change
                   ITEM
                                          Feb.-     Jan.-   Dec.- 
                                        Mar.(2)    Feb.(r)    Jan.
              DURABLE GOODS                                  
                                                             
     Total:                                                  
        Shipments........................      +1.5     -1.4     +1.4
        New orders.......................      +2.6     -2.0     -1.9
        Unfilled orders..................      +1.1     +0.6     +0.9
                                                             
 Durable goods excluding defense:                            
   Shipments.............................      +1.6     -1.3     +1.6
   New orders............................      +3.7     -1.9     -1.0
   Unfilled orders.......................      +1.6     +0.7     +1.0
                                                             
 Durable goods with unfilled orders:                         
   Shipments.............................      +1.1     -1.3     +1.4
   New orders............................      +2.3     -1.9     -2.6
 Primary metals:                                             
   Shipments.............................      +0.6     -0.8     +2.1
   New orders............................      +0.5     -1.6     +4.7
   Unfilled orders.......................      -0.5     -0.5     -0.1
 Industrial machinery and equipment:                         
   Shipments.............................      +1.7     -2.6     +6.8
   New orders............................      -2.1     -3.8    +10.9
   Unfilled orders.......................      -0.6     +1.3     +2.0
 Electronic and other                                        
  electrical equipment                                       
   Shipments.............................      +1.8     -0.4     +4.8
   New orders............................      +9.7     +9.3    -10.0
   Unfilled orders.......................      +7.1     +3.5     -0.8
 Transportation equipment:                                   
   Shipments.............................      +2.0     -3.8     -2.9
   New orders............................      +1.8     -9.7     -7.6
   Unfilled orders.......................      -0.2     -0.2     +1.2
                                                             
     CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES                                
                                                             
   Shipments.............................      +0.3     -2.8     +3.2
   New orders............................      -1.3     -8.8     -1.9
   Unfilled orders.......................      -0.1     +0.2     +1.4
     Nondefense:                                             
       Shipments.........................      +0.4     -2.7     +4.0
       New orders........................      +2.0     -9.4     +1.1
       Unfilled orders...................      +0.4     +0.1     +1.7
      Excluding Aircraft and Parts:                          
       Shipments.........................      +2.9     -2.1     +5.9
       New orders........................      +1.0     -6.6     +5.8
       Unfilled orders...................      -0.3     +0.6     +2.7
     Defense:                                                
       Shipments.........................      -1.2     -4.0     -4.1
       New orders........................     -30.6     -4.1    -23.1
       Unfilled orders...................      -1.5     +0.6     +0.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 1, PART 3: DURABLE GOODS MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS AND ORDERS
 
 
                                            ---Not Seasonally Adjusted ---  
                                                     Monthly
                                              (Millions of dollars)
                    ITEM
                                             Mar.    Feb.      Mar.   Mar.
                                          2000(2)   2000(r)   1999   00/99
 
 
              DURABLE GOODS                                           
                                                                      
     Total:                                                           
        Shipments........................   228,192  205,315  215,480  +5.9
        New orders.......................   230,385  208,317  214,181  +7.6
        Unfilled orders..................   527,545  525,352  504,906  +4.5
                                                                      
 Durable goods excluding defense:                                     
   Shipments.............................   221,882  199,366  208,307  +6.5
   New orders............................   225,225  201,842  204,822 +10.0
   Unfilled orders.......................   432,151  428,808  406,056  +6.4
                                                                      
 Durable goods with unfilled orders:                                  
   Shipments.............................   187,377  167,675  176,528  +6.1
   New orders............................   189,570  170,677  175,229  +8.2
 Primary metals:                                                      
   Shipments.............................    16,911   16,424   15,242 +11.0
   New orders............................    16,889   17,262   15,406  +9.6
   Unfilled orders.......................    32,989   33,011   30,755  +7.3
 Industrial machinery and equipment:                                  
   Shipments.............................    48,372   38,808   43,579 +11.0
   New orders............................    46,878   40,166   44,134  +6.2
   Unfilled orders.......................    83,707   85,201   77,018  +8.7
 Electronic and other                                                 
  electrical equipment                                                
   Shipments.............................    41,599   36,629   35,501 +17.2
   New orders............................    45,321   37,885   34,282 +32.2
   Unfilled orders.......................    92,383   88,661   62,668 +47.4
 Transportation equipment:                                            
   Shipments.............................    52,003   49,059   53,786  -3.3
   New orders............................    51,800   48,578   53,049  -2.4
   Unfilled orders.......................   230,859  231,062  246,335  -6.3
                                                                      
     CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRIES                                         
                                                                      
   Shipments.............................    72,428   60,009   69,310  +4.5
   New orders............................    71,459   61,185   69,816  +2.4
   Unfilled orders.......................   358,476  359,445  360,009  -0.4
     Nondefense:                                                      
       Shipments.........................    66,118   54,060   62,137  +6.4
       New orders........................    66,299   54,710   60,457  +9.7
       Unfilled orders...................   263,082  262,901  261,159  +0.7
      Excluding Aircraft and Parts:                                   
       Shipments.........................    59,683   47,134   52,867 +12.9
       New orders........................    58,476   48,276   53,753  +8.8
       Unfilled orders...................   119,464  120,671  111,051  +7.6
     Defense:                                                         
       Shipments.........................     6,310    5,949    7,173 -12.0
       New orders........................     5,160    6,475    9,359 -44.9
       Unfilled orders...................    95,394   96,544   98,850  -3.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
   (r)Revised
 
   (1)Shipments and new orders are the totals for the period and are
adjusted for trading-day and calendar-month variations; unfilled orders
are as of the end of the period and are not adjusted for trading-
day or calendar-month variations
  (2)Based on advance sample.
  (3)The Capital Goods industries include Nondefense capital goods:
ordnance and accesories, steam engines and turbines, internal combustion
engines construction, mining, and material handling equipment,
metalworking machinery, special industry machinery, general industrial
machinery, computer and office equipment, refrigeration, heating and
service industry machinery, electrical transmission and distribution
equipment, electrical industrial apparatus, communications equipment,
aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and space vehicles engines and parts,
ships and tank components, railroad equipment, and search and
navigation equipment.
  Defense capital goods industries include, ordnance and accessories,
communications equipment, aircraft, missiles, space vehicles, and engines
and parts, ships, tanks and tank components, and search and navigation
equipment.
 
SOURCE:  Current Industrial Reports:  Manufacturers' Shipments,
Inventories, and Orders, 1995.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
TABLE 2, PART 1: AVERAGE REVISIONS TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED MONTHLY
PERCENT CHANGES
 
 
                                                     Shipments
 
 
                                         Year  ago         Mar. Mar. 1999-
                                         Mar. 1999   1995-1999   Feb. 2000
            Industry
 
 
      Durable goods...................         2.5         0.7         1.2
Primary metals........................         4.1         1.4         1.2
Industrial machinery and equipment....         0.5         0.3         2.7
Electronic and other
  electrical equipment................         1.5         0.5         1.6
Transportation equipment..............         6.1         1.7         5.6
 
Nondefense capital goods..............         1.9         0.6         3.0
Defense capital goods.................         0.2         0.4         4.3
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
 
 
TABLE 2, PART 2: AVERAGE REVISIONS TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED MONTHLY
PERCENT CHANGES
 
 
 
                                                    New Orders
 
 
                                         Year  ago         Mar. Mar. 1999-
                                         Mar. 1991   1995-1999   Feb. 2000
            Industry
 
 
      Durable goods...................         0.7         0.7         1.5
Primary metals........................         0.8         0.8         1.4
Industrial machinery and equipment....         0.6         0.7         2.0
Electronic and other
 electrical equipment.................         1.4         0.7         3.9
Transportation equipment..............         1.1         1.9         5.7
 
Nondefense capital goods..............         0.2         1.8         3.5
Defense capital goods.................         5.0         4.8         8.4
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
 
 
TABLE 2, PART 3: AVERAGE REVISIONS TO PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED MONTHLY
PERCENT CHANGES
 
 
 
                                                Unfilled Orders
 
 
                                         Year  ago         Mar. Mar. 1999-
                                         Mar. 1999   1995-1999   Feb. 2000
            Industry
 
 
      Durable goods...................         0.7         0.3         0.5
Primary metals........................         1.8         0.7         1.0
Industrial machinery and equipment....         1.2         0.5         0.9
Electronic and other
 electrical equipment.................         0.7         0.4         1.2
Transportation equipment.............          1.9         0.6         0.9
 
Nondefense capital goods..............         0.5         0.5         0.7
Defense capital goods.................         2.8         0.8         1.5
 
 
 
Note: The revisions are the differences between the month-to-month percent
changes of the advance and final estimates.  The monthly averages are the
simple averages of the differences, without regard to sign, for the months
specified.

 

 

 
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Last modified: March 17, 2001

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